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Attained 94% Accuracy in Product Demand Prediction with ML based Forecasting Solutions for a Leading US Home Décor Brand

Retail
Posted On: 21 January, 2026

About the Client

The client is a leading brand in the home décor and organization industry, offering stylish and affordable products. With a global presence and a strong foothold in major e-commerce platforms, the company introduces hundreds of new designs monthly, serving a diverse customer base worldwide.

Business Needs | Identifying the Need for Predictive Analytics for Retail

The client faced challenges in accurately forecasting demand and maintaining optimal inventory levels. With fluctuating customer preferences and seasonal demand, they needed a solution to:

  • Improve demand forecasting accuracy across a wide range of SKUs.
  • Reduce frequent stock-outs and enhance customer satisfaction.
  • Optimize inventory levels to meet demand without overstocking.
  • Leverage data-driven insights for better decision-making and campaign planning.

Solutions | Leveraging AI Solutions for Retail Forecasting and Demand-Supply Management

The solutions utilized machine learning and advanced data analytics to enhance demand forecasting and inventory management:

  • We organized raw order data into daily, weekly, and monthly datasets to facilitate easier analysis.
  • Our team generated insights through exploratory data analysis (EDA) to identify trends and patterns in the data.
  • We normalized the data and tested for stationarity using the Dickey-Fuller Test, applying log differencing when needed.
  • Our experts built and fine-tuned a machine learning model to provide accurate demand forecasting.
  • We collected intelligent inputs from the model that helped in campaign planning and real-time decision-making, minimizing stock-outs and optimizing inventory.

Business Impact | Enhanced Performance with Retail Data Analytics Services

  • 94% accuracy in product forecasting achieved over a period of 12 weeks, significantly improving inventory planning and demand prediction.
  • Forecasted ~2,600 SKUs with Machine learning model, with accuracy ranging from 75% to 85%, enabling better demand forecasting.
  • Identified 60-80% of products with negative GMROI (Gross Margin Return on Investment) , allowing the client to optimize its product portfolio.
  • Improved demand and supply management, minimizing stock-outs and enhancing operational efficiency.

Technology Stack

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Attained 94% Accuracy in Product Demand Prediction with ML based Forecasting Solutions for a Leading US Home Décor Brand
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